Bay Area Voters Deliver a Mixed
Verdict on Rent Control
Election results in Redwood City, San Pablo, and Berkeley reveal contrasting attitudes toward expanding tenant protections—and new considerations for rental property owners.
There was a time when rent control in the Bay Area was largely the province of urban centers like San Francisco, Oakland, and Berkeley, where organized tenant activism had deep roots. But as housing costs climbed and residents sought more affordable communities farther from the urban core, the pressures that gave rise to rent control began spreading as well. Communities once removed from the political fray over rent and eviction controls increasingly found themselves confronting the same affordability concerns.
Over time, rent control became less of a big-city phenomenon and more of a regional movement. Local governments took notice of what their neighbors were doing, borrowing provisions from existing ordinances and adapting them to their own circumstances. Rent caps, just-cause eviction requirements, relocation payments, and other tenant protections began appearing in different combinations across the Bay Area. The result was not a uniform system of regulation, but a patchwork of local rules, exemptions, and administrative requirements layered over statewide law.
Efforts to expand rent control statewide, meanwhile, repeatedly encountered resistance at the ballot box. Michael Weinstein and the AIDS Healthcare Foundation spearheaded several unsuccessful campaigns to overturn or substantially weaken the Costa-Hawkins Rental Housing Act, which limits the reach of local rent control ordinances. But those defeats did not bring the movement to a halt. Tenant advocates continued pressing their case at the local level, where individual communities could consider additional protections within the boundaries of state law.
That brings us to the November 3 election. Voters in Redwood City, San Pablo, and Berkeley were presented with proposals to expand local tenant protections, but the results revealed markedly different responses. The question was no longer simply whether rent control belonged in the Bay Area. It was how much further individual communities were willing to take it.
Every new tenant protection comes with a promise. But regulations also carry costs, create obligations, and sometimes produce unintended consequences. Where should communities draw the line?
| City | Measure | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|
| Redwood City | E | 43.74% | 56.26% |
| San Pablo | S | 59.51% | 40.49% |
| Berkeley | X | 68% | 32% |
According to preliminary election returns, Redwood City voters rejected Measure E, a proposal that would have imposed tighter limits on annual rent increases, broadened eviction protections, and established additional obligations for rental property owners.
The proposal came just months after Redwood City implemented a new Tenant Protection Ordinance on January 1, 2026. That ordinance already established requirements governing just-cause evictions, relocation assistance, minimum lease terms, and tenants' rights following substantial renovations.
But the ink had barely dried on Redwood City's new tenant protections before advocates were pushing for more. For them, the existing regulations were not enough. Measure E sought to go considerably further, imposing tighter rent controls and expanding the obligations placed on rental property owners.
The distinction matters. Voters were not being asked whether tenants should have legal protections. Many protections were already in place under state and local law. The question was how much further Redwood City should extend those requirements.
| Existing Protections | Measure E Proposal |
|---|---|
| State rent cap of 5% plus inflation, up to 10%, for covered properties | Annual rent increases limited to 60% of inflation, with a maximum of 5%, for qualifying multifamily units built before February 1, 1995 |
| Existing state and local just-cause eviction requirements | Expanded eviction protections reaching additional housing categories, including certain single-family homes, accessory dwelling units, and affordable housing |
| Relocation assistance under existing law | Increased relocation assistance for qualifying no-fault evictions, generally the greater of four months' fair-market rent or $12,000 |
| Existing protections applying to specified categories of rental housing | Additional tenant protections and a city-administered regulatory program funded through annual assessments on rental property owners |
Measure E would have created a more restrictive regulatory framework, with implications extending beyond how much rent an owner could charge. The proposal also raised questions about compliance costs, administrative requirements, and the financial obligations associated with ending certain tenancies.
Its rejection leaves Redwood City's existing tenant protection framework in place, rather than adding the proposed new layer of regulation.
While Redwood City voters appeared unwilling to embrace another layer of rent regulation, voters in nearby San Pablo were moving in the opposite direction. According to preliminary election returns, Measure S, a citizen-sponsored initiative to establish stricter rent controls and expand tenant protections, was leading with approximately 60% of the vote.
The initiative was spearheaded by Rising Juntos, a local tenant advocacy organization that gathered signatures to place the measure on the ballot. Supporters argued that rising housing costs and the threat of displacement demanded stronger protections for renters, including residents of mobile home parks.
San Pablo already had ordinances addressing just-cause evictions, tenant harassment, and relocation assistance. Measure S proposed replacing much of that framework with a more expansive system of rent stabilization and tenant protections.
The measure's rent-stabilization provisions generally target qualifying older multifamily rental housing, including units built before February 1, 1995, while its provisions addressing mobile homes and other tenant protections have their own coverage rules. Owners should not assume that every requirement applies to every residential property.
| Existing Protections | Under Measure S |
|---|---|
| State rent cap of 5% plus inflation, up to 10%, for covered properties | Annual rent increases limited to 60% of inflation or 3%, whichever is lower, for qualifying units |
| Existing state and local just-cause eviction protections | Expanded protections governing eviction grounds and termination procedures, with coverage determined by the applicable provisions |
| Relocation assistance under existing state and local requirements | For qualifying no-fault evictions, the greater of four months' fair-market rent or $12,000, with additional payments for certain vulnerable tenants |
| Existing tenant anti-harassment protections | Expanded tenant organizing, harassment, and voluntary move-out agreement requirements |
| State and local enforcement mechanisms | New city-administered rent stabilization program, including hearings, enforcement, and fair-return petitions |
Another significant provision concerns the starting point for calculating lawful rents. For qualifying tenancies already in place on July 1, 2025, the measure generally uses the rent charged on that date as its reference point. For tenancies beginning afterward, the initial rent serves as the starting point. This distinction could have important consequences for owners who increased rents in the intervening period.
Unlike the measure's supporters, San Pablo's elected leadership was not convinced that the proposed regulations represented the right approach.
Mayor Elizabeth Pabon-Alvarado and Vice Mayor Rita Xavier were among those opposing Measure S. They raised concerns about its complexity, the financial burden on smaller rental property owners, and the expense of administering another regulatory program.
An independent fiscal analysis commissioned by the city estimated annual administrative costs of approximately $1.08 million to $2.36 million, with the program funded through fees imposed on rental property owners.
Supporters countered that those fees would finance the program without drawing on the city's general fund. They also maintained that limiting rent increases and strengthening eviction protections would help families remain in their homes and preserve neighborhood stability.
The contrast with Redwood City is striking. Two Bay Area communities, confronted with proposals to expand rent regulation, appeared to be reaching very different conclusions about how far local government should go.
Berkeley has one of the Bay Area's longest-established and most comprehensive rent-control systems anywhere. For decades, rental property owners have operated under a regulatory framework governing just about every aspect of the landlord-tenant relationship.
Measure X takes that framework a step further. With roughly two-thirds of voters supporting the initiative, Berkeley is poised to impose additional restrictions on banked rent increases, expand tenant-organizing rights, and introduce other changes affecting how rental properties are managed.
What Measure X Will Change
Preliminary election returns indicate that Berkeley voters have endorsed another round of changes to a rent-control system that has been in place for more than four decades. Unlike the proposals in Redwood City and San Pablo, Measure X does not establish an entirely new regulatory framework. Instead, it modifies an existing ordinance, tightening some restrictions, expanding certain tenant rights, and changing how several administrative requirements operate.
Banked Rent Increases: A New Annual Ceiling
Under Berkeley's rent-control system, property owners are permitted annual rent adjustments established by the Rent Stabilization Board. Owners who choose not to impose an allowable increase can generally preserve that unused adjustment for a future year, a practice known as banking.
That flexibility has allowed owners to defer increases during difficult economic periods or while maintaining a stable relationship with a tenant, without necessarily forfeiting the opportunity to collect those increases later.
Measure X places an overall ceiling on how accumulated increases can be implemented. The limit is tied to the maximum annual increase permitted under applicable state law, currently 10%. Regardless of how much unused rent adjustment an owner has banked, the lawful periodic rent cannot be increased beyond that ceiling within a one-year period.
Consider a tenant paying $2,000 per month. If the owner has accumulated enough unused adjustments to otherwise justify a 15% increase, the owner cannot impose the entire increase at once.
At the current 10% ceiling, the maximum increase under that particular limitation would be $200, bringing the monthly rent to $2,200. Other applicable requirements may limit the increase further.
The remaining banked adjustments are not automatically eliminated, but their implementation must comply with the applicable annual ceiling and other requirements governing banked increases.
For owners who have deliberately deferred increases over several years, the change introduces another consideration into long-term rent planning.
Tenant Associations in Smaller Buildings
Measure X also expands Berkeley's tenant-organizing provisions.
Berkeley already recognizes tenant-association rights in qualifying rental properties, with different coverage rules depending on building size and whether a property management company is involved.
Measure X extends those protections to additional smaller properties, including qualifying buildings with five or more rental units that are not managed by a property management company.
This matters because Berkeley's organizing rules go beyond merely allowing tenants to meet or communicate with one another. Qualifying tenant associations have enforceable rights, and landlords are required to confer with them in good faith about matters affecting the rental relationship.
The measure also clarifies that a landlord's failure to participate in good-faith discussions may support a tenant petition for a rent reduction.
For smaller property owners who previously fell outside these requirements, tenant organizing may now become a more formal part of property management.
Exemptions, Registration, and Administrative Changes
Other provisions of Measure X may receive less attention, but they also have practical consequences.
Exemptions tied to the beginning of a tenancy. Most affected rent-control and registration exemptions will not become available to a unit during an existing tenancy if the unit did not qualify when that tenancy began. This is particularly important for owners whose occupancy arrangements or property circumstances change. Certain exemptions also involve specific notice requirements.
Nonprofit housing providers. The Rent Stabilization Board will be authorized to reduce or waive certain registration fees for qualifying subsidized housing owned or leased by nonprofit organizations.
Registration and administration. The measure changes the annual registration deadline from July 1 to September 30 and makes additional procedural changes intended to streamline administration. Owners should confirm the applicable deadline and implementation schedule before relying on the revised requirements.
Taken individually, some of these amendments may appear modest. Together, they illustrate how Berkeley's rent-control framework continues to evolve—not through a wholesale replacement of the ordinance, but through successive changes affecting rent adjustments, exemptions, tenant rights, and compliance obligations.
An Established System Becomes More Restrictive
Supporters characterized Measure X as a practical effort to close loopholes, prevent sudden rent increases, and improve the administration of Berkeley's existing protections.
Opponents, including the Berkeley Property Owners Association, argued that the measure would introduce additional complexity and legal exposure for smaller housing providers without directly addressing the city's shortage of affordable housing.
The distinction between Berkeley and the other two cities is instructive. Redwood City voters appeared to resist additional regulation. San Pablo voters favored a more comprehensive rent-stabilization system. Berkeley voters chose to further refine—and in several respects tighten—an ordinance that has already governed rental housing for generations.
Krista C. Gulbransen, Executive Director, Berkeley Property Owners Association
What Landlords Should Do Next
The voters have had their say, but for landlords and property managers, the real work is just beginning. New restrictions, changing exemptions, and different rules from one city to the next create opportunities for costly mistakes—even among experienced housing providers.
And the pitfalls aren't always obvious. A property may be exempt from rent control but remain subject to eviction restrictions. A permissible rent increase may still violate notice requirements. A change in ownership or occupancy may have consequences that aren't immediately apparent.
With that in mind, here are some practical precautions worth taking before making your next move.
Don't Apply Yesterday's Rules
With Measure S leading in preliminary election returns, landlords and property managers should prepare to reassess allowable rents, rent increases, termination notices, relocation obligations, and tenant buyouts. The measure's July 1, 2025 rent reference date could be particularly consequential for qualifying existing tenancies. Confirm whether a property is covered, when the relevant provisions become operative, and which requirements apply before changing established procedures.
Reconsider Banked Increases and Exemptions
With Measure X leading in preliminary returns, owners who have accumulated unused rent increases should review how and when those increases may be applied under the measure's annual ceiling. Exemption status, tenant-association rights, and registration requirements also deserve attention. Verify the applicable provisions and effective dates rather than assuming that existing practices can continue unchanged.
Rejection Doesn't Mean Deregulation
Measure E was defeated according to preliminary election returns, but that result does not eliminate existing tenant protections. California's statewide rent-cap and just-cause requirements, where applicable, remain relevant, as do Redwood City's existing local obligations. Property owners should evaluate each tenancy under the laws already in effect rather than treating the election result as a broad exemption from regulation.
Before You Make Your Next Move
Regardless of where a rental property is located, some of the most expensive mistakes begin with assumptions about what the law permits.
Exemptions Aren't Universal
A property exempt from rent-increase limits may still be subject to just-cause eviction protections, relocation requirements, registration obligations, or other provisions. State and local exemptions may also differ. Verify which requirements apply rather than assuming an exemption covers everything.
New Ownership, Existing Rules
A change in ownership doesn't necessarily reset lawful rents, eliminate existing tenant protections, or extinguish regulatory obligations. Before purchasing an occupied rental property, investigate its tenancy history, rent records, exemption status, and applicable restrictions.
A Signed Agreement Isn't Always Enforceable
A tenant may sign a lease containing prohibited provisions, agree to a rent increase that exceeds legal limits, or accept a payment to voluntarily vacate. But a signature doesn't automatically make those arrangements enforceable. Certain tenant protections cannot be waived, and buyout agreements may carry additional disclosure, filing, and rescission requirements.
Procedure Matters
Even when the amount of a proposed rent increase is permissible, the increase may be defective because of improper notice, timing, calculation, or administrative requirements. Confirm both the allowable amount and the procedures required to implement it.
Documentation Is Essential
Preserve rent histories, prior increase notices, exemption records, registration documents, and correspondence with tenants. These records may become essential years later when an owner must establish the lawful rent or demonstrate compliance with applicable requirements.
Property Changes Have Consequences
Moving out of an owner-occupied duplex, converting a unit, or changing how a property is used may affect its exemption status or trigger additional legal obligations. Before changing a property's occupancy or use, consider how those decisions could affect existing tenancies.
Staying Ahead of the Rules
Rent control is no longer simply a question of how much rent a landlord can charge. It affects decisions about property purchases, tenancy agreements, rent increases, exemptions, and recovering possession of a rental unit.
The November election results are another reminder that California's regulatory landscape continues to evolve, often one city at a time. For housing providers, understanding the rules before making a decision is considerably less expensive than discovering a violation afterward.
Bornstein Law helps rental property owners and managers navigate these complexities, evaluate their options, and avoid costly missteps. If you're uncertain how a new or existing regulation affects your property, we welcome the opportunity to discuss your situation.
Contact Bornstein Law →